Jerusalem, 8 November, 2026 (TPS-IL) — Strategic adviser Tzuriel Sharon, the only pollster to accurately predict Israel’s election outcome, warned on Sunday that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would be making a mistake by calling another election in hopes of securing a 61-seat majority.
“Some people are telling Netanyahu that he can hold another election and get 61 seats. They are wrong and misleading him, and not for the first time,” Sharon said. He argued that there is currently no mathematical path to a narrow right-wing government.
Sharon also predicted that Arab parties would retain at least 16 Knesset seats in another election, and could reach 17.
He added that even if Ofer Winter’s party crosses the electoral threshold, neither political bloc would secure a majority.
Sharon said that Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc retains a base of roughly 55 seats, while the opposition cannot exceed its electoral ceiling.
